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Roy Rounder Tips

This is a discussion on Roy Rounder Tips within the Hand-Analysis/Tips/Strategies/Articles forums, part of the Poker! Poker! Poker! category; Here's the plan: The persona will be a well-schooled but linguistically-challenged Lithuanian named Dabnus Rumaki. Although his poker advice will ...

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    Here's the plan: The persona will be a well-schooled but linguistically-challenged Lithuanian named Dabnus Rumaki. Although his poker advice will be sound, he'll constantly trip over common English and poker idioms to comedic effect.

    Example:

    Let's say it's a situation where you've made a continuation bet with a marginal hand, gotten raised, and the only reasonable play is to fold before you get in too deep...

    "Ah, but now your opponent has raised himself to you. The cat has come leaping out of bag!"

    I like black pugs and I cannot lie...

  2. #12
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    Let's do it!
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    That would take so long to actually write! We'd probably have to a few people writing the actual strategy articles and one just in charge of translating in into broken English.

    I like black pugs and I cannot lie...

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    "Secrets of Winning at Texas No-Limit Hold'em" by Ace Kingman.

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    not me

    lol

    but like ur name choice

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    I've made some more decisions about Dabnus. He is the proud owner of a three year-old Pomeranian named Puki whom he loves very much and talks about constantly and is also married to the impossibly gorgeous and much younger Viviane. I haven't decided whether it's funnier to have Viviane be clearly cheating on Dabnus and have him completely miss every obvious warning sign or if has actually attracted and fulfills this gorgeous woman.

    I like black pugs and I cannot lie...

  7. #17
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    The Next Tip

    Using Bad Beats to your Advantage
    How To Use Bad Beats To Your Advantage

    Hey Jennifer,

    I can remember it clearly...

    When I first started playing online poker I'd log on to a
    low-stakes game... thinking I'd win EASILY against all the
    fish.

    I'd make my deposit... buy-in to a tournament or ring
    game... and use the same strategies I'd use in casinos and
    local cash games.

    But in no time... sometimes MINUTES... I'd be out of money.

    Poof!

    Just like that. Back to zero.

    I'd think to myself, "Wow, I just caught a cold streak of
    cards... I'll make it back."

    I'd put in another deposit (this time without the bonus) and
    play again...

    Poof! Gone again.

    And again.

    And again.

    Then I started thinking, "Wow, these poker rooms must be
    rigged somehow... or someone must be cheating..."

    The WORST part was when I'd catch a "bad beat".

    But not just ONE bad beat...

    It seemed I was catching them CONSTANTLY-- way more than in
    "regular" poker...

    I'd hit trips and put my opponent on two pair... only to
    learn that he chased an inside straight draw and hit it on
    the river.

    Opponents would bet middle-pair aggressively... and then
    make three-of-a-kind on the turn.

    I'd have K-Q and the flop would come K-10-3. I'd bet my top
    pair aggressively and my opponent would call. Then I'd watch
    in awe as he beat me with A-5 as the Ace fell on the
    river...

    Then I'd scream at my computer:

    "WHAT IN THE WORLD WAS HE CALLING WITH? THIS IS COMPLETE
    BULL$&#@! WHAT AN IDIOT!"

    Has this ever happened to you?

    If so, give me a silent nod.

    Now... here's the thing:

    After a lot of frustrated nights of cursing at the avatars
    on my computer, I made a BREAKTHROUGH.

    It was this breakthrough that helped me turn my online poker
    game into a PROFITABLE, money-making MACHINE... the same as
    when I played in casinos and cash games.

    What was this breakthrough?

    I STARTED TO USE THE "BAD BEATS" TO MY ADVANTAGE.

    Yes, you read that right.

    Now hear me out...

    It all started when I finally asked myself one crucial
    question:

    "Could it actually be MY FAULT that I'm suffering all these
    bad beats?"

    And the answer was YES.

    Indeed... I wasn't necessarily CAUSING them to happen. But I
    was LETTING them happen over and over.

    You see, online poker is RIPE for bad beats. If you've
    played much, you already know what I'm talking about.

    The reason is because the amateurs chase when they
    shouldn't, bet when they shouldn't, and call when they
    shouldn't.

    It's that simple.

    Now as I've explained in previous newsletters, when you pick
    up a monster hand pre-flop you MUST narrow the table down to
    one or two callers.

    DO NOT see a flop with pocket Kings with five other players
    in the hand. You'll lose.

    The solution is to raise EXTREMELY aggressively-- more so
    than you'd do at the local casino.

    Then the odds are fully in your favor going into the flop...
    and your chances of getting "sucked out" decrease
    dramatically.

    Now... the SAME EXACT CONCEPT can be extended to your
    betting patterns AFTER the flop.

    It just gets more tricky.

    For instance, let's say you limp-in with a hidden hand like
    suited-connectors or a small pocket pair. Then you hit big
    on the flop. What do you do?

    Obviously there are a lot of considerations. But in GENERAL,
    the natural thing to do is SLOW-PLAY it...

    But online, you CAN'T do that if there are multiple players
    in the hand. Because that's what leads to bad beats.

    The key is to BET AGGRESSIVELY and always find out "where
    you stand" against your opponents.

    And when I say "aggressive", I mean AGGRESSIVE. You'll have
    to risk more chips than you're used to in order to get rid
    of the chasers.

    To find out where you stand in the hand, you've got to use
    some special techniques...

    The first is simple: RAISE. If your opponent is chasing, he
    probably won't go over the top of you. But if he's already
    made a hand, he'll re-raise.

    Another technique is to simply make two very large bets in a
    row. Anyone who calls TWO large bets in a row (after the
    flop and turn) probably already made a good hand.

    Also, watch for "check-calls". That's when you have
    positioning on your opponent and he checks... then calls
    your bet. This is a sure sign of a chaser, or someone with a
    marginal hand.

    "Check-call" usually translates to:

    "Please don't bet... Please don't bet... Damn! He bet. Oh
    well I have to call... I have to see the next card..."

    OK, one last point.

    DON'T be afraid of scaring EVERYONE out of the pot.
    Sometimes you'll mis-judge the situation and EVERYONE will
    fold to your bet or raise... and all you'll have won are
    some blinds.

    That's OK. It will happen... but it's better to err on the
    side of TOO AGGRESSIVE rather than getting busted.

    All right... let me show you an example. This will show you
    how to use bad beats to your ADVANTAGE...

    Let's say you're in the big blind. You pick up your cards:

    Jd-9c

    Three players limp-in... including the small blind. You
    check to see a free flop.

    The flop hits:

    Jc-9h-3d

    Nice. Top two pair.

    The guy in the small blind is first to act... and he comes
    out firing with a medium-sized bet. Now it's on you. What's
    the play?

    You have to raise. You want the next two players OUT and to
    go heads-up with the SB. He'll probably call your raise if
    he came out firing first...

    But let's say you DON'T raise. Let's say you call and the
    other two players call.

    Now let's look at your PERCENTAGE CHANCES of winning this
    hand... based on some "hypothetical cards" that your
    opponents are holding.

    Let's say the guy in the small blind is holding:

    Qs-10s

    That means he just flopped the open-ended straight draw.

    The other two players have:

    Ad-9d and 2c-2h

    The guy with A-9 has middle pair. He can hope for the Ace or
    runner-runner diamonds.

    Deuces boy on the button is just looking for a third deuce.

    IF THIS WERE THE SITUATION, WHAT ARE YOUR ODDS OF WINNING?

    Well, if the hand plays out with all four of you, the odds
    of you winning are just 45.9%.

    That's right... LESS THAN 1/2!

    Now if you were playing this hand in real life and lost to
    either:

    - The Ace on the river...
    - A deuce...
    - Or a King or an eight...

    ...you'd probably call it a "bad beat".

    At least it would FEEL like a bad beat, right?

    After all, your odds of winning are HIGHER than anyone
    else's!

    But the fact remains, your odds of winning this hand are
    LESS THAN 50%.

    Now here's the kicker...

    Probably MOST of your low-stakes opponents online WOULD call
    a medium-sized bet with those hands...

    SO, the solution is to raise. You already know that. When
    you raise, your odds go way up...

    If you raise enough to force only the small blind to call,
    your odds of winning are about 70%. Sure beats below 50%!

    Now... the turn comes:

    7h

    Great. You know this didn't help him... He checks to you,
    which suggests he has the straight draw or a marginal hand.

    Now THIS is where you make your move.

    After the turn your odds of winning are over 80%. LEVERAGE
    THOSE ODDS.

    If you know your opponent is on a draw MAKE HIM PAY FOR IT.

    UNDER NO CIRCUMSTANCES should you let him see a free river.
    Because if he misses he's going to fold.

    This is where your all-in move is good. You've got an 80%
    chance... and your opponent is feeling pot-committed.

    Get all your money in the middle RIGHT NOW.

    OK, so you go all-in. Your opponent calls with the
    open-ended straight draw... all he can pray for is a King or
    an eight...

    The river hits:

    Kh

    BOOM!

    Your opponent MAKES HIS STRAIGHT and you lose all your
    chips.

    Haha... I'M JUST KIDDING!

    The river is a five of clubs and YOU WIN!

    (Hey, they're my examples... I gotta have fun with them once
    in awhile...

    The key is to LEVERAGE those loose players by UNDERSTANDING
    what makes them "tick".

    LEVERAGE means RAISING THE STAKES. You've got to put all
    your money in the middle and be OK with losing it 1/5 of the
    time... and enjoy the rewards of winning MASSIVE POTS the
    other four times.

    Now the IMPLICATION of raising the stakes is that you must
    CHOOSE BATTLES WISELY.

    Don't bluff very much... certainly not from the beginning of
    a hand. Only bluff towards the end when you sense weakness.

    Choose the high-stakes showdowns when you've already made a
    hand... not when you're on a draw. And do it against
    opponents who don't have as many chips as you...

    When you take everything into consideration, you realize
    it's not just about "betting big". It's about adopting BAD
    BEATS into your OVERALL STYLE OF PLAY.

    For example, you'll think twice about getting into a
    showdown with 60:40 odds (in your favor) when you're playing
    in a big tournament. Because you know that there's a 40%
    chance of getting ELIMINATED... and you know that your
    opponent is probably loose enough to risk all his chips on
    it.

    It's the same way with something like flush and straight
    draws. How you play them will depend on WHERE you're playing
    them...

    Ring game? Multi-table tournament? 6-player Sit and Go?

    And WHO are you playing them against... Chip leader or short
    stack?

    And at WHAT STAKES?

    Listen... the thing that immediately transformed my online
    poker game was simply realizing that all the bad beats were
    coming for a REASON.

    Don't just play the cards... and don't just play the
    players... also play the fact that PEOPLE WILL MAKE
    IRRATIONAL DECISIONS.

    Risk lots when the odds are in your favor... and don't count
    on your opponents being too intelligent. You'll start
    winning HUGE POTS by feeding on the "fish".

    Here's something SCARY...

    Rumor has it that 99% of online poker players LOSE money
    over time.

    Yeah... 99%.

    A portion of that is because of the rake, of course. I
    mean... if you play break-even all the time you'll end up
    DOWN because of the rake.

    But the rake doesn't account for THAT big of percentage!

    If this is true that 99% of online poker players are losers,
    it means something VERY important...

    THAT 1% IS MAKING A FORTUNE!

    Think about it: The only other place for all that money to
    go (besides the rake) is to those winners!

    Crazy to imagine, huh?

    Now if you're one of those LOSING players right now, you
    have three options:

    1. Stop playing and go spend your money somewhere else.

    2. Keep playing for the fun of it... and think of your
    losses as the price of "entertainment".

    3. Figure out how to be in that top 1%.

    Option three is pretty damn sweet... I'm not gonna lie.

    Because there's nothing better than knowing you can sit on
    the couch in your underwear, click your mouse a few times,
    and START MAKING MOOLA.

    You've already taken the first step by subscribing to my
    newsletter.

    The next step is to put these strategies and tips into
    ACTION... through practice and hard work
    Go Team SWS*! Follow us on Twitter and Facebook!

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  8. #18
    WinJStar's Avatar
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    ^^^99% of players losing online is a scary number. Wonder if its accurate?
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  9. #19
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    This was actually a discussion on Pokah! a while and the number I came up with was 65-70% of players losing money. The rake is murder.

    I like black pugs and I cannot lie...

  10. #20
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    well before LP site i was in the losing side , but since my game got a bit better and lots of eastern europe donks I am up quit a bit and my br on FT is doing better too . I have not done a deposit on either site in a long time

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